Actually, the peak in bridge users in 2018 affected many countries, not only Kazakhstan. The cause is unknown, but there is an entry for it in the timeline. The increase in obfs4 in 2016 was the result of plain Tor being blocked by TLS fingerprint.
| start date |
end date |
places |
protocols |
description |
links |
? |
| 2018-05-23 |
2018-07-01 |
|
bridge |
Sharp increase in bridge users in many unrelated countries, affecting even the global aggregate. Relay users unaffected. The graphs reach a peak around 2018-06-07 and then begin falling again. An incomplete sampling of affected countries: Bangladesh Chile Indonesia Morocco Venezuela. |
relay graph bridge graph
|
X |
| 2016-06-01 |
|
kz |
obfs4 |
Kazakhstan blocks vanilla Tor TLS. Users mostly switch to obfs4. |
ticket |
|
This is a good thought, but for me the dates do not align. The change in Tor users happens on 2019-04-28, but the inauguration was on 2019-06-12, and I read that the social media blocks started that day.
This is interesting. I hadn’t heard of such “curfew”-style shutdowns in Kazakhstan before. If it’s safe for you to do so, you may want to send any information to the Freedom on the Net maintainers. The list of contributors for 2020 doesn’t name a contributor for Kazakhstan (“researchers wished to remain anonymous”) but it might be possible to contact their general address. The 2020 report for Kazakhstan does mention some shutdowns:
…emergency situations and unauthorized political gatherings were accompanied by localized internet shutdowns…
In February 2020, a local internet shutdown was recorded in the Korday district…